|
 |
 |
Open
Source Software: The Next Disruptive IT Influence
Document: SSR-395
Date of Publication: October
22, 2007
Number of Pages:
30
Lead Author(s):
B. Guptill
Contributing Author(s): Bill McNee, Mark
Koenig, Charlie Burns
Price: $1,295.00 USD
(Single User License)
Report Overview:
Open source software is
everywhere within user organizations. It is considered acceptable
and desirable by user executives for all software categories, in all
aspects of the enterprise. Open source software is sought out,
considered and evaluated for more than half of all business software
acquisitions worldwide.
User organizations see
significant business and competitive value from their use of open
source software. Users are drawn to open source due to its:
 |
Low cost of acquisition; |
 |
Independence
from vendor release and licensing requirements; and |
 |
Ability to manipulate source code -- even
by the smallest enterprises. |
As a result, open source
software has a large and growing, and increasingly unseen,
presence within user organizations. The presence of open source is
much larger than previously reported – and getting harder to audit
and manage. Low cost and ability to manipulate source code means
that open source software is (and will be) integrated into user
environments, commercial software solutions, and software delivered
as a service (SaaS).
It is this mixed-source,
“hidden” presence that will change the nature of business
software, the software industry itself, and user IT management,
within three to five years. A lack of software
standardization, increasingly varied and complex code licensing
agreements, community development environments, and vendors’ need
to protect intellectually property (and customer bases) mean that
user IT and Finance executives will have their hands full with
spiraling requirements for managing technology, IT licensing, and
vendor relationships. Vendors will have their own pressing issues,
from new competitors to their own licensing issues – with vast
changes in technology and product/service development methods and
costs.
Saugatuck’s
latest Open Source research study - including survey input from over
200 user IT and business executives, supplemented by interviews and
briefings with more than 20 open source and traditional software and
services vendors - reveals the realities and the effects of open
source software now and through 2012. This study provides insights
and analysis of fundamental changes, and guidance for user and
vendor executives regarding what’s coming, what’s not, and what
to do about it.
Press
Release / Media, BLOG and Podcast Coverage
Executive
Summary:
Read
this report to learn:
 |
The extent to which open source software will really erode the presence - and profitability - of traditionally-licensed software within user enterprises. |
 |
The greatest gaps between user expectations of open source software and traditional software vendors - and why current open source vendors are unlikely to bridge those gaps. |
 |
Why hybridized "open source + proprietary source" development models and software portfolios will be the key to survival and success for software vendors, along with the critical success factors/building blocks for software vendor survival strategies. |
 |
What the top business and technology drivers of open source adoption are for user enterprises and why they vary by company size - but not by geogrpahy or vertical industry. |
 |
Why there is no single, over-riding business or technological inhibitor to the adoption of open source software by user enterprises, and what this means to software vendors. |
 |
How the "management premium" of open source software affects both user enterprises and software vendors. |
Research Highlights:
 |
Saugatuck survey data indicate that open source software may account for as much as 10 percent of worldwide user software, in all sizes of enterprises. Thirty-two per cent of user enterprise executives expect that by YE 2010, more than half of their key on-premise software will be open source. |
 |
Open source is changing the way user enterprises perceive, buy and use software. And as a result, open source is changing the way IT vendors and service providers develop, license and support software. |
 |
Open source is first and foremost a development methodology, not a product, a technology, a single license scheme, or a business model. Open source's key advantages derive from its community-driven development model. The greatest benefits will go to those who understand this and use it to their advantage. |
 |
Open source will be a significant part of all aspects of hybrid IT environments, based in large part on vendor and services provider use of open source components to reduce development time and costs. |
 |
Saugatuck sees three basic stages of open source marketplace presence, evolution and maturity through 2012 (i.e., "Early Adoption", "Core IT Acceptance", "Commercial Ubiquity"). User enterprises are already entering the second stage, while most vendors are stuck in the first, early stage. |
 |
In the long term, the greatest open source presence in most enterprises will be as components within vendor and SaaS provider solutions. Saugatuck looks for a majority of SaaS providers to incorporate open source software both in their own platforms and systems, and as part of software and services offerings, by YE 2010. To accomplish this, SaaS providers will partner with (or acquire/be acquired by) leading open source software providers. |
 |
There can be no one "open source" model for management or business, for users or vendors. Successful software vendors will utilize business models that blend licensing and revenue streams, including open source and SaaS.
While open source software can reduce the costs of software acquisition and development, and can reduce development timeframes and resource needs, it almost always increases management resource requirements. |
 |
Open source is delivering significant business value to user enterprises, and therefore is being managed as would any other valuable IT asset. Open source's presence in user enterprises is far from haphazard or accidental - it is increasingly planned and managed. |
 |
SMBs want and need custom solutions - and open source is a means to deliver those at significantly reduced development costs for vendors. |
Table Of
Contents:
 |
Introduction: What's so Important About Source Software? |
 |
Three Stages in the Marketplace: Saugatuck's Open Source Scenario
 |
Key Assumptions: Users Leads Vendor, and Multiple Models Will Rule |
|
 |
Open Source Today - A User Reality Snapshot
 |
Mixed-Source, Hybrid Future Changes in Game |
 |
Value Beyond Mere Presence |
 |
Factors Driving Open Source Adoption |
|
 |
Open Source Today - a Vendor Snapshot
 |
Traditional Vendors: Focus on competitive Aspects of Open Source |
 |
Pure-play Vendors: Focus on Community |
 |
Licensing Changes the Game |
|
 |
Summary and Conclusion: The Effects of a Mixed-Source Future |
 |
Appendix A: Research Methodology and Demographics |
List of Figures and Sidebars:
 |
Sidebar: Defining "Open Source" Software |
 |
Figure 1: Three Stages of Open Source in the Marketplace |
 |
Figure 2: Open Source in the House, 2007 - 2010 |
 |
Figure 3: Users Expect Mixed-Source Challenges |
 |
Figure 4: Open Source: Important, Valuable, and Managed |
 |
Figure 5: Drivers of Open Source Adoption |
 |
Figure 6: Top-tier Open Source Adoption Drivers by Company |
 |
Sidebar: Table Stakes, Decision Influencers and "Nice-to-Haves" |
 |
Sidebar: Open Source does NOT Equal Open Standards |
 |
Figure 7: Key Inhibitors to Open Source Adoption |
 |
Figure 8: Saugatuck 2007 User Open Source Survey Respondents: Company Sizes |
 |
Figure 9: Saugatuck 2007 User Open Source Survey Respondents:
Respondent Titles |
 |
Figure 10: Saugatuck 2007 User Open Source Survey Respondents: Functional Responsibilities |
 |
Figure 11: Saugatuck 2007 User Open Source Survey Respondents: Industry / Sector Distribution |
Related Research
 |
05-07-08
SaaS and Core Systems of Record: Observations from the FEI Summit
(B.
McNee, 4 pages, RA-462)
|
 |
04-30-08 The Business Appliance: Flexible Functionality for a Broad Range of Computing Needs
(C. Burns, M. Koenig, 6 pages,
MKT-461, $$$) |
 |
04-30-08
Microsoft’s Live Mesh: Web 2.0 Play Enables Legacy Growth While Opening Future Opportunities
(B. Guptill, M. West, 3 pages,
RA-459)
|
 |
04-29-08 Saugatuck SaaS Research: Waves and Platforms in the Cloud
(M. West, B. Guptill, 5 pages, STR-458, $$$) |
 |
04-23-08
Road Research: Whither Open Source? MySQL Conference and Survey Report
(B. Guptill, 3 pages,
RA-456)
|
 |
04-22-08 MySQL Conference 2008: A Sense of Arrival and Accomplishment for Open Source Software
(B. Guptill, 5 pages, STR-455,
$$$) |
 |
03-31-08 Is Open Source Already Routine? Or Misunderstood by Vendors?
(B. Guptill, 5 pages, STR-450, $$$) |
 |
02-21-08
Consideration (and Selling) of Open Source Software Varies by Industry
(B. Guptill, 4 pages, MKT-437, $$$) |
 |
02-13-08 Linux on Mobile: Signpost for Future Open Software Direction?
(B. Guptill, 2 pages, RA-435) |
 |
01-16-08
Oracle, BEA, Sun and MySQL: New Year, New Acquisitions
(B. Guptill, 4 pages, RA-425)
|
 |
01-02-08
A Rising Tide Swamps all Boats - Disruptive IT Impact in 2008
( B. Guptill, 3 pages, RA-422)
|
 |
12-28-07 A Look Back at Key Trends and Events of 2007
(M. Koenig, B. McNee, 5 pages, RA-419) |
 |
12-20-07 Key Trends in SaaS: 2008 and Beyond
(B. McNee, M. West, B. Guptill, M. Koenig, 6 pages, RA-417) |
 |
12-18-07
Open Source in 2008: Over the Threshold and Into Growth Mode
(B. Guptill, 5 pages, MKT-416, $$$) |
 |
12-14-07 Open Source Adoption Path II: Mapping Open-source Business Software Growth Through 2010
(B. Guptill, 6 pages, MKT-414, $$$) |
 |
11-28-07
Open Source Adoption Path I: From Fringe to Core IT in Five Years?
(B. Guptill, 7 pages, MKT-410, $$$) |
 |
11-28-07
Verizon “Opens” Wireless Network: SaaS, Web 2.0, and Open Source Implications
(B. Guptill, 3 pages, RA-409)
|
 |
11-21-07
Server Virtualization Becoming More Real(izable) (C.
Burns, 3 pages, RA-407) |
 |
11-21-07
US Will Lead Europe in Core Software Open Source Presence through 2012
(B. Guptill, 6 pages, MKT-406, $$$) |
 |
11-07-07
Google’s Android Mobile OS: Potential Game-changer Beyond Cell Phones?
(B. Guptill, 4 pages, RA-403) |
 |
10-30-07
Open Source Software Governance: Smaller Firms at Risk (B.
Guptill, 5 pages, MKT-401,
$$$) |
 |
10-24-07 Open Source as Disruptive Influence: Research Study Highlights
(B. Guptill, 3 pages, RA, 398) |
 |
10-19-07 It's a Small (Business) World: Smaller Enterprises Lead Open Source Expectations
(B. Guptill, 5 pages, MKT-397,
$$$) |
 |
09-13-07
Open Source as Differentiator: User Expectations vs. Vendor Reality
(B. Guptill, 5 pages, MKT-386, $$$) |
 |
09-12-07
Linux Adoption Growth Stalling? What the Numbers Really Mean
(Bruce Guptill, 2 pages, RA-385) |
 |
08-30-07
Reader Q&A: SCO-Unix-Linux Impacts on Microsoft, HP, Sun and Novell
(B. Guptill, 4 pages, QA-382, $$$) |
 |
08-24-07 Debacle, Decision, and Driver:
SCO-Novell-Unix-Linux Open Source Market Impacts (B.
Guptill, 5 pages, MKT-379, $$$) |
 |
08-22-07
Emerging Licensing Differences: Risk to Open Source Users and Vendors?
(Bruce
Guptill, Mike West, 3 pages, RA-378) |
 |
08-15-07
VMware and XenSource Fuel Credibility for "Virtual" Reality
(Bruce Guptill, 2 pages, RA-376) |
 |
08-08-07 IT Management Evolution Spells Vendor Opportunity
(Charlie Burns, 2 pages, RA-375) |
 |
07-31-07
IT Management Evolution: All Roads Lead to Rome (C.
Burns, 4 pages, STR-372,
$$$)
|
 |
07-31-07
SOA’s Dependence on Open Source is Key to Vendor Success (A.
Perrin, 4 pages, MKT-371,
$$$)
|
 |
07-27-07 Open Source Vendor Perspectives: It’s Real, It’s Hidden, and It’s Bigger Than You Think
(B. Guptill, 5 pages, STR-370,
$$$)
|
 |
07-04-07
The Mainframe is Dead: Long Live the Mainframe
(C. Burns, 3 pages, RA-364) |
 |
06-29-07 Open Source’s Changing Nature Sparks Debate: What, and Where, is “Open Source?”
(C. Burns, B. Guptill, 4 pages, MKT-363,
$$$) |
 |
06-20-07 Greatest Open Source Presence and Impact: Behind the Scenes
(B. Guptill, 3 pages, RA-358) |
 |
06-13-07
Virtualization and Open Source Enable IT Optimization – but Need Holistic Vision
(C. Burns, 3 pages, RA-356) |
|
|
To Purchase an Electronic Copy
via Web Download:
Members who have purchased this
report can access it by clicking here within 7 days of purchase.
If you are having trouble with our
e-commerce engine, for whatever reason, just pick up the phone and
call us at 1-203-454-3900 and we will be happy to take your order
over the telephone and email you a copy of the report.
|