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Open Source Adoption Path II: Mapping Open-source Business Software Growth Through 2010

Document:                       MKT-414
Date of Publication:        December 14, 2007
Number of Pages:          6
Lead Author(s):               B. Guptill
Price:                               $295 USD

Perspective Summary:

Last month, we looked at user adoption plans and data to frame a typical roadmap of enterprise-level open source adoption.  This month, we look in more depth at specific user business software categories, to see which will lead and which will follow on the path to open source.

To paraphrase previously-published Saugatuck open source software research, open source is already everywhere within user enterprises. Our latest research indicates that open source code is already embedded in between one-third and one-half of existing user software.

But beyond its incorporation as lines of code in various applications and operating systems, open source also accounts for much of the growth in core user software categories.  Saugatuck research and analysis indicates that open source software’s presence will increase from approximately 10 percent of key user on-premise software in 2007, to between 15 percent and 20 percent by 2010. That includes the following key enterprise software categories:

Desktop/Mobile Operating Systems;

Server & Mainframe Operating Systems;

Systems Management Software;

Databases;

Development Tools;

Application Server Software;

Middleware/Integration Layer Software;

Business Applications Software (including ERP); and

 Desktop Productivity Software
 
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